Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-10-21 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

DAL: 41.5%

CBJ: 58.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.06

CBJ: 4.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	CBJ 1 - 0 DAL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-21	DAL 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-25	CBJ 6 - 4 DAL	CBJ	DAL
2025-02-02	DAL 5 - 3 CBJ	DAL	DAL
2023-11-09	CBJ 2 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	1	1.07
1	CBJ	19	1	1.23
2	DAL	16	2	1.44
2	CBJ	9	0	0.44
3	DAL	9	0	0.72
3	CBJ	17	4	2.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 1 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.1 - 4.0