Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-10-22 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 1 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 55.2%

MIN: 44.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.52

MIN: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Nico Daws - 3-1-0 | 0.939 SV% | 1.60 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	NJD	MIN
Season SV%	0.939	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	1.60	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Nico Daws	31	30	1	96.8%	2.79	1	1.79
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	31	4	88.6%	3.31	2	-0.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs MIN: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	18	0	1.06
1	MIN	11	0	0.64
2	NJD	15	1	0.61
2	MIN	17	0	1.03
3	NJD	18	1	1.64
3	MIN	16	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown