Montreal Canadiens at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-10-22 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

CGY: 47.7%

MTL: 52.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.97

MTL: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CGY at home vs MTL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	MTL 4 - 1 CGY	MTL	MTL
2025-10-22	CGY 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-03-08	CGY 1 - 0 MTL	CGY	CGY
2024-11-05	MTL 2 - 3 CGY	CGY	CGY
2024-03-16	CGY 5 - 2 MTL	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	14	0	0.29
1	MTL	10	1	1.09
2	CGY	24	0	1.12
2	MTL	11	1	0.74
3	CGY	11	0	0.69
3	MTL	13	1	0.97
4	CGY	0	0	0.00
4	MTL	1	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 1 - 2 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0