Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

OTT: 62.6%

PHI: 37.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.00

PHI: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	PHI 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-11-08	PHI 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-23	OTT 2 - 1 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-04-13	OTT 4 - 3 PHI	OTT	OTT
2025-03-11	PHI 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	0	0.68
1	PHI	11	0	0.77
2	OTT	10	0	0.71
2	PHI	12	0	0.81
3	OTT	14	1	0.68
3	PHI	11	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1