Philadelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 53.2%
PHI: 46.8%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.11
PHI: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | OTT | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.933 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 | PHI 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-08 | PHI 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-23 | OTT 2 - 1 PHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-04-13 | OTT 4 - 3 PHI | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-11 | PHI 2 - 5 OTT | OTT | PHI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.