Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 7 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

NYI: 58.0%

DET: 42.0%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.13

DET: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs DET: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	DET 3 - 2 NYI	DET	DET
2025-11-20	DET 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-23	NYI 7 - 2 DET	NYI	NYI
2024-11-25	NYI 2 - 4 DET	DET	NYI
2024-11-21	DET 2 - 1 NYI	DET	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	2	1.33
1	DET	12	0	0.73
2	NYI	16	0	1.12
2	DET	18	0	1.15
3	NYI	10	0	0.62
3	DET	22	1	2.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 7 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2