San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 63.3%

SJS: 36.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 4.14

SJS: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.91
1	SJS	9	2	0.72
2	NYR	15	0	0.78
2	SJS	16	0	0.72
3	NYR	13	1	0.83
3	SJS	8	1	0.83
4	NYR	1	0	0.18
4	SJS	2	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.6

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.1 - 3.5