San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (83% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 82.8%
SJS: 17.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.80
SJS: 1.81
Total Goals
Median: 4.7
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | NYR | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYR at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | SJS 3 - 1 NYR | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-10-23 | NYR 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | NYR |
| 2025-03-29 | SJS 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | SJS |
| 2024-11-14 | NYR 3 - 2 SJS | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-01-23 | SJS 3 - 2 NYR | SJS | NYR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 82.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 1.8
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