Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 54.0%
LAK: 46.0%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.51
LAK: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | DAL | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.920 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | LAK 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | LAK |
| 2025-12-15 | DAL 4 - 1 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-23 | DAL 2 - 3 LAK | LAK | DAL |
| 2025-02-28 | DAL 6 - 2 LAK | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-07 | LAK 5 - 4 DAL | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:48 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 04:58 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 06:27 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:32 | DAL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:37 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9