Los Angeles Kings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-10-23 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 54.2%

LAK: 45.8%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.32

LAK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs LAK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	DAL
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	LAK
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	2	0.97
1	LAK	7	2	1.02
2	DAL	16	1	1.39
2	LAK	12	0	0.65
3	DAL	9	2	0.94
3	LAK	14	0	0.46
4	DAL	1	0	0.04
4	LAK	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1