Montreal Canadiens at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-10-23 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 64.3%
MTL: 35.7%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.17
MTL: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | EDM | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.964 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | MTL 4 - 1 EDM | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-23 | EDM 6 - 5 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-06 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-18 | MTL 3 - 0 EDM | MTL | EDM |
| 2024-03-19 | EDM 3 - 2 MTL | EDM | EDM |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0
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