San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-10-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 81.2%

SJS: 18.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.22

SJS: 1.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	NJD	SJS
Season SV%	0.912	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	17	16	1	94.1%	2.26	2	1.26
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	29	26	3	89.7%	4.46	3	1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs SJS: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	SJS 5 - 2 NJD	SJS	NJD
2025-10-24	NJD 3 - 1 SJS	NJD	NJD
2025-01-04	SJS 3 - 2 NJD	SJS	NJD
2024-11-10	NJD 0 - 1 SJS	SJS	NJD
2024-02-27	SJS 2 - 7 NJD	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.77
1	SJS	10	0	0.71
2	NJD	25	2	2.47
2	SJS	2	0	0.13
3	NJD	10	1	1.23
3	SJS	14	2	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 81.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown