Washington Capitals at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2025-10-24 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 5 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 50.4%
WSH: 49.6%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.11
WSH: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.910 | 0.979 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CBJ at home vs WSH: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | WSH 2 - 0 CBJ | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-11-24 | WSH 5 - 1 CBJ | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-10-24 | CBJ 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | CBJ |
| 2025-04-13 | WSH 1 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | WSH |
| 2025-04-12 | CBJ 7 - 0 WSH | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:19 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:36 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 02:40 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 10:20 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:39 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | WSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 5 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3