Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-10-24 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

WPG: 52.0%

CGY: 48.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.00

CGY: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs CGY: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-15	CGY 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-10-24	WPG 5 - 3 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-10-20	CGY 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CGY
2025-01-26	WPG 5 - 2 CGY	WPG	WPG
2025-01-18	WPG 1 - 3 CGY	CGY	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	0	0.70
1	CGY	12	0	0.83
2	WPG	19	0	1.29
2	CGY	10	0	0.68
3	WPG	15	2	1.81
3	CGY	22	0	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2