Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-10-24 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 53.2%
CGY: 46.8%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.00
CGY: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | WPG | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.940 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs CGY: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | CGY 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | CGY |
| 2025-10-24 | WPG 5 - 3 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-10-20 | CGY 1 - 2 WPG | WPG | CGY |
| 2025-01-26 | WPG 5 - 2 CGY | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-01-18 | WPG 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:18 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 18:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 13:56 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 09:50 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 06:24 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 05:19 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:52 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 08:27 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2