New York Islanders at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 New York Islanders (SO)

Win Probability

PHI: 55.7%

NYI: 44.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.92

NYI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs NYI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	NYI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2026-01-26	PHI 0 - 4 NYI	NYI	PHI
2025-11-28	NYI 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	NYI
2025-10-25	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI
2025-04-12	PHI 4 - 3 NYI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	0	0.81
1	NYI	11	1	0.79
2	PHI	10	0	1.01
2	NYI	18	0	0.84
3	PHI	11	1	1.19
3	NYI	12	0	0.70
4	PHI	1	0	0.06
4	NYI	4	0	0.52
5	PHI	3	2	1.48
5	NYI	3	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0