Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 32.5%

COL: 67.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.67

COL: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs COL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-25	BOS 3 - 2 COL	BOS	COL
2025-10-18	COL 4 - 1 BOS	COL	COL
2025-01-25	BOS 3 - 1 COL	BOS	COL
2024-10-16	COL 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	COL
2024-01-18	BOS 5 - 2 COL	BOS	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	16	2	1.23
1	COL	13	1	1.13
2	BOS	10	0	0.64
2	COL	16	0	0.95
3	BOS	8	1	0.73
3	COL	20	0	1.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3