Colorado Avalanche at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-25 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 43.0%
COL: 57.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.01
COL: 3.36
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | BOS | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.929 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs COL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | BOS 3 - 2 COL | BOS | COL |
| 2025-10-18 | COL 4 - 1 BOS | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-25 | BOS 3 - 1 COL | BOS | COL |
| 2024-10-16 | COL 3 - 5 BOS | BOS | COL |
| 2024-01-18 | BOS 5 - 2 COL | BOS | BOS |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4
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