Buffalo Sabres at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2025-10-25 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Buffalo Sabres (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 63.3%
BUF: 36.7%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.27
BUF: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 4.9
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | TOR | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.873 | 0.904 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TOR at home vs BUF: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | BUF 3 - 2 TOR | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-01-27 | TOR 4 - 7 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-10-25 | TOR 4 - 3 BUF | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-10-24 | BUF 5 - 3 TOR | BUF | TOR |
| 2025-04-15 | BUF 0 - 4 TOR | TOR | TOR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6
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