St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-10-25 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 57.3%
STL: 42.7%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.45
STL: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | DET | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • DET at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | STL 2 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-10-25 | DET 6 - 4 STL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-01 | STL 2 - 1 DET | STL | DET |
| 2024-12-23 | DET 0 - 4 STL | STL | DET |
| 2024-02-24 | DET 6 - 1 STL | DET | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:43 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:54 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:12 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:52 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:34 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:01 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:01 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 10:48 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:47 | DET | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 6 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.