Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 1 - 7 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

WSH: 32.7%

OTT: 67.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 2.75

OTT: 5.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WSH at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 OTT	WSH	OTT
2026-01-01	OTT 4 - 3 WSH	OTT	OTT
2025-10-25	WSH 1 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-03	WSH 5 - 4 OTT	WSH	OTT
2025-01-30	OTT 5 - 4 WSH	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	10	0	0.47
1	OTT	12	2	1.30
2	WSH	8	0	0.58
2	OTT	18	1	2.35
3	WSH	11	1	0.74
3	OTT	15	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 7.8

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 1 - 7 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.7 - 5.0