Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 47.7%

LAK: 52.3%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.93

LAK: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	NSH	LAK
Season SV%	0.897	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	48	41	7	85.4%	6.94	6	-0.06
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	32	24	8	75.0%	7.04	5	-0.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NSH at home vs LAK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	LAK 3 - 2 NSH	LAK	LAK
2026-04-02	LAK 4 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-10-25	NSH 5 - 4 LAK	NSH	LAK
2025-03-15	LAK 1 - 0 NSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-21	NSH 3 - 2 LAK	NSH	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	12	1	1.03
1	LAK	20	0	0.91
2	NSH	4	0	0.50
2	LAK	19	1	1.52
3	NSH	6	0	0.68
3	LAK	18	2	1.40
4	NSH	9	0	0.90
4	LAK	1	0	0.10
5	NSH	9	4	3.93
5	LAK	9	3	3.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9