Carolina Hurricanes at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-10-25 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

DAL: 51.2%

CAR: 48.8%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.96

CAR: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	CAR 6 - 3 DAL	CAR	CAR
2025-10-25	DAL 3 - 2 CAR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-21	DAL 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-11-25	CAR 6 - 4 DAL	CAR	CAR
2024-02-24	CAR 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	10	0	0.91
1	CAR	15	0	0.94
2	DAL	16	2	1.70
2	CAR	20	0	0.99
3	DAL	15	1	1.33
3	CAR	16	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2