San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-10-26 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 63.7%
SJS: 36.3%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.10
SJS: 2.26
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 28%
Over 6.5: 17%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | MIN | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.894 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | SJS 4 - 3 MIN | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-11-11 | MIN 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-10-26 | MIN 5 - 6 SJS | SJS | MIN |
| 2025-04-09 | MIN 8 - 7 SJS | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-11 | SJS 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.3
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.