Utah Hockey Club at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 53.4%

UTA: 46.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.10

UTA: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • WPG at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	UTA 5 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-12-21	UTA 4 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-10-26	WPG 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	WPG
2025-04-05	UTA 4 - 1 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-01-24	WPG 5 - 2 UTA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	0.80
1	UTA	10	0	0.40
2	WPG	14	2	1.49
2	UTA	25	0	1.90
3	WPG	16	2	1.31
3	UTA	15	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2