Utah Hockey Club at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-10-26 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 53.4%
UTA: 46.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 2.88
UTA: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | WPG | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.881 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.870 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • WPG at home vs UTA: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | UTA 5 - 3 WPG | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-21 | UTA 4 - 3 WPG | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-26 | WPG 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | WPG |
| 2025-04-05 | UTA 4 - 1 WPG | UTA | WPG |
| 2025-01-24 | WPG 5 - 2 UTA | WPG | WPG |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.9 - 2.6
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.