Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Dallas Stars

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 48.2%

DAL: 51.8%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.12

DAL: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

DAL

Casey DeSmith - 9-2-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Stat	NSH	DAL
Season SV%	0.875	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.29	2.44

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Justus Annunen	28	25	3	89.3%	4.20	3	1.20
DAL	Casey DeSmith	25	23	2	92.0%	2.23	0	0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NSH at home vs DAL: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	0.71
1	DAL	11	0	0.78
2	NSH	13	0	1.01
2	DAL	21	2	2.10
3	NSH	13	0	0.51
3	DAL	14	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown