New York Rangers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-10-26 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CGY: 62.9%

NYR: 37.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.40

NYR: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 5.4

Over 5.5: 48%

Over 6.5: 34%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CGY at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	NYR 4 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR
2025-10-26	CGY 5 - 1 NYR	CGY	CGY
2025-03-18	NYR 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	NYR
2024-11-21	CGY 3 - 2 NYR	CGY	CGY
2024-02-12	NYR 2 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	21	0	0.95
1	NYR	11	0	0.56
2	CGY	17	0	1.37
2	NYR	18	2	1.46
3	CGY	9	0	0.38
3	NYR	19	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0