Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 55.3%
PIT: 44.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.15
PIT: 3.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | PHI | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.815 | 0.927 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PHI at home vs PIT: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PHI |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-02-27 | PIT 5 - 4 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-25 | PHI 6 - 1 PIT | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:25 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 10:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 02:46 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 11:57 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.1 - 3.7