Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)

Win Probability

PHI: 65.6%

PIT: 34.4%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.55

PIT: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs PIT: 6-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-29	PHI 1 - 0 PIT	PHI	PIT
2026-04-27	PIT 3 - 2 PHI	PIT	PHI
2026-04-25	PHI 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PHI
2026-04-22	PHI 5 - 2 PIT	PHI	PHI
2026-04-20	PIT 0 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	18	1	1.19
1	PIT	15	1	0.91
2	PHI	20	0	1.36
2	PIT	6	1	0.53
3	PHI	9	0	0.49
3	PIT	12	0	0.53
4	PHI	3	0	0.23
4	PIT	4	0	0.42
5	PHI	3	2	1.82
5	PIT	3	1	1.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 3.3