Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 53.0%
CBJ: 47.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.94
CBJ: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.928 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.897 | 0.944 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • BUF at home vs CBJ: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CBJ 5 - 1 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-10-28 | BUF 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | BUF |
| 2025-04-10 | CBJ 3 - 2 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-02-04 | BUF 3 - 2 CBJ | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-10-17 | CBJ 6 - 4 BUF | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:09 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 19:44 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 14:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 11:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 13:55 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 02:40 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 02:53 | CBJ | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0