New York Islanders at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Win (70% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 29.9%
NYI: 70.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.65
NYI: 4.06
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
| Stat | BOS | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.948 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs NYI: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYI 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-11-04 | NYI 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-10-28 | BOS 5 - 2 NYI | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-02-27 | BOS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-01-05 | BOS 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYI |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 70.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.6 - 4.1
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.