New York Islanders at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 52.1%
NYI: 47.9%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.62
NYI: 3.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | BOS | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.948 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BOS at home vs NYI: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | NYI 1 - 3 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-11-04 | NYI 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | NYI |
| 2025-10-28 | BOS 5 - 2 NYI | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-02-27 | BOS 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | BOS |
| 2025-01-05 | BOS 4 - 5 NYI | NYI | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:08 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:52 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 03:57 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 07:48 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 05:48 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 5 - 2 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.6 - 3.6