New York Islanders at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 42.0%

NYI: 58.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.11

NYI: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs NYI: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	NYI 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-11-04	NYI 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	NYI
2025-10-28	BOS 5 - 2 NYI	BOS	NYI
2025-02-27	BOS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-05	BOS 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	7	0	0.33
1	NYI	11	2	0.92
2	BOS	13	0	0.90
2	NYI	11	0	0.68
3	BOS	12	3	1.99
3	NYI	24	0	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3