Vegas Golden Knights at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 62.7%

VGK: 37.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.49

VGK: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • CAR at home vs VGK: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	0	0.26
1	VGK	9	0	0.58
2	CAR	9	0	0.54
2	VGK	27	4	2.58
3	CAR	17	0	0.89
3	VGK	12	4	2.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5