Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 51.1%
TBL: 48.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.30
TBL: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-22-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.16 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | NSH | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | TBL 3 - 2 NSH | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-28 | NSH 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | NSH |
| 2024-11-29 | NSH 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-28 | TBL 3 - 2 NSH | TBL | TBL |
| 2023-12-07 | NSH 5 - 1 TBL | NSH | NSH |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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