Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

NSH: 45.6%

TBL: 54.4%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.96

TBL: 3.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.88
1	TBL	18	3	1.42
2	NSH	5	0	0.20
2	TBL	17	2	1.90
3	NSH	11	0	0.84
3	TBL	10	3	2.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 3.7