Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 55.8%

WPG: 44.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.33

WPG: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • MIN at home vs WPG: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	MIN 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	MIN
2025-12-27	WPG 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-23	WPG 0 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-10-28	MIN 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	MIN
2024-12-21	WPG 5 - 0 MIN	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	23	1	1.38
1	WPG	13	0	0.72
2	MIN	18	2	1.44
2	WPG	11	0	0.82
3	MIN	14	0	0.61
3	WPG	12	1	0.64
4	MIN	0	0	0.00
4	WPG	1	0	0.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3