Detroit Red Wings at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 51.7%

DET: 48.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.14

DET: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • STL at home vs DET: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	STL 2 - 5 DET	DET	STL
2025-10-25	DET 6 - 4 STL	DET	STL
2025-04-01	STL 2 - 1 DET	STL	STL
2024-12-23	DET 0 - 4 STL	STL	DET
2024-02-24	DET 6 - 1 STL	DET	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	1	0.60
1	DET	16	0	0.66
2	STL	17	0	1.11
2	DET	11	1	1.23
3	STL	5	0	0.16
3	DET	11	2	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0