Washington Capitals at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 1 - 0 Washington Capitals
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 53.0%
WSH: 47.0%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.58
WSH: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 4.3
Over 5.5: 30%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | DAL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 1.000 | 0.926 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs WSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | WSH 1 - 4 DAL | DAL | WSH |
| 2025-10-28 | DAL 1 - 0 WSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-16 | DAL 3 - 1 WSH | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-10-17 | WSH 3 - 2 DAL | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-01-27 | DAL 5 - 4 WSH | DAL | DAL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 1 - 0 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.6 - 2.8
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