New Jersey Devils at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 8 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

COL: 67.9%

NJD: 32.1%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.61

NJD: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs NJD: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	0.77
1	NJD	24	0	0.94
2	COL	22	1	1.48
2	NJD	14	1	1.29
3	COL	18	0	1.29
3	NJD	8	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 8 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7