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Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 54.4%
UTA: 45.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.84
UTA: 3.62
Total Goals
Median: 9.0
Over 5.5: 89%
Over 6.5: 80%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
StatEDMUTA
Season SV%0.9060.895
Last 5 SV%0.8370.878
SV% vs Opponent0.8370.781
GAA2.732.68
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-07UTA 6 - 5 EDMUTAUTA
2026-03-24UTA 2 - 5 EDMEDMEDM
2025-10-28EDM 6 - 3 UTAEDMEDM
2025-03-18EDM 7 - 1 UTAEDMEDM
2024-12-31EDM 4 - 1 UTAEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
109:25UTAGoal
117:45UTAGoal
200:22UTAGoal
203:13EDMGoal
208:19UTAGoal
213:33EDMGoal
214:10EDMGoal
217:56EDMGoal
317:34EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 7.5
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.8 - 3.6