New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 2 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 35.5%

NYR: 64.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.86

NYR: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	VAN	NYR
Season SV%	0.905	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.72	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	25	23	2	92.0%	3.66	3	1.66
NYR	Jonathan Quick	23	23	0	100.0%	2.28	0	2.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs NYR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	NYR
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	NYR
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.70
1	NYR	13	1	1.34
2	VAN	9	0	0.48
2	NYR	21	0	1.30
3	VAN	23	0	1.11
3	NYR	8	2	1.02

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown