Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2025-10-28 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 43.1%
MTL: 56.9%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.79
MTL: 3.31
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs MTL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SEA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-14 | MTL 5 - 4 SEA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-12 | SEA 5 - 4 MTL | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-10-29 | MTL 2 - 8 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-03-24 | SEA 1 - 5 MTL | MTL | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 7 | 1 | 0.55 |
| 1 | MTL | 10 | 2 | 0.79 |
| 2 | SEA | 9 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 2 | MTL | 12 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | SEA | 15 | 0 | 0.80 |
| 3 | MTL | 9 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 4 | SEA | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | MTL | 2 | 0 | 0.23 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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