Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-10-28 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 48.1%

LAK: 51.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.75

LAK: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 39%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	SJS	LAK
Season SV%	0.896	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.36	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	14	10	4	71.4%	1.42	2	-2.58
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	40	37	3	92.5%	4.06	2	1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs LAK: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	SJS 5 - 4 LAK	SJS	SJS
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	9	0	0.82
1	LAK	12	1	0.81
2	SJS	21	1	1.39
2	LAK	5	0	0.23
3	SJS	24	1	1.85
3	LAK	5	1	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown