Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2025-10-29 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

CBJ: 66.1%

TOR: 33.9%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.72

TOR: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CBJ at home vs TOR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	CBJ 1 - 2 TOR	TOR	CBJ
2025-11-20	TOR 2 - 3 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-29	CBJ 6 - 3 TOR	CBJ	CBJ
2025-04-05	TOR 5 - 0 CBJ	TOR	CBJ
2025-01-22	TOR 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	1	0.89
1	TOR	12	0	0.51
2	CBJ	10	2	1.10
2	TOR	25	1	1.79
3	CBJ	14	0	0.49
3	TOR	15	1	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 6 - 3 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.7 - 2.9