Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Calgary Flames (SO)

Win Probability

OTT: 61.4%

CGY: 38.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.62

CGY: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • OTT at home vs CGY: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	CGY 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-30	OTT 4 - 3 CGY	OTT	OTT
2024-12-19	CGY 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-25	OTT 4 - 3 CGY	OTT	OTT
2024-01-09	CGY 6 - 3 OTT	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	0	1.37
1	CGY	13	2	1.61
2	OTT	16	0	0.74
2	CGY	10	0	0.50
3	OTT	14	0	0.60
3	CGY	10	0	0.42
4	OTT	9	2	0.87
4	CGY	1	0	0.01
5	OTT	2	2	1.74
5	CGY	2	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 4 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8