Vancouver Canucks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 62.9%

VAN: 37.1%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.58

VAN: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	STL	VAN
Season SV%	0.869	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.56	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	20	16	4	80.0%	2.47	2	-1.53
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	41	38	3	92.7%	3.47	3	0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VAN: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	1	0.71
1	VAN	12	1	0.85
2	STL	15	0	0.61
2	VAN	9	0	0.59
3	STL	24	2	1.91
3	VAN	9	0	0.30
4	STL	4	0	0.14
4	VAN	1	0	0.13
5	STL	2	0	0.09
5	VAN	3	1	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8