Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-10-30 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 56.2%
PIT: 43.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.23
PIT: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | MIN | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.942 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs PIT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | PIT 0 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2025-10-30 | MIN 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2025-03-09 | MIN 1 - 3 PIT | PIT | MIN |
| 2024-10-29 | PIT 3 - 5 MIN | MIN | PIT |
| 2024-02-09 | MIN 3 - 2 PIT | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:16 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 02:18 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:18 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:29 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1