Pittsburgh Penguins at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-10-30 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 58.2%

PIT: 41.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.31

PIT: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • MIN at home vs PIT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-21	PIT 0 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2025-10-30	MIN 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	MIN
2025-03-09	MIN 1 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2024-10-29	PIT 3 - 5 MIN	MIN	PIT
2024-02-09	MIN 3 - 2 PIT	MIN	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	18	1	1.09
1	PIT	7	0	0.32
2	MIN	13	1	1.14
2	PIT	19	1	1.34
3	MIN	11	0	0.29
3	PIT	21	2	2.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2