New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-10-30 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 New York Rangers (OT)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 55.6%
NYR: 44.4%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.11
NYR: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | EDM | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • EDM at home vs NYR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | EDM 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | EDM |
| 2025-10-14 | NYR 0 - 2 EDM | EDM | NYR |
| 2025-03-16 | NYR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | NYR |
| 2024-11-23 | EDM 6 - 2 NYR | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-12-22 | NYR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:44 | NYR | Goal |
| 1 | 06:51 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 08:48 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 10:24 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 08:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 12:04 | EDM | Goal |
| 4 | 02:49 | NYR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8