Detroit Red Wings at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2025-10-30 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 55.9%
DET: 44.1%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.19
DET: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | DET 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-30 | LAK 3 - 4 DET | DET | LAK |
| 2025-01-27 | DET 5 - 2 LAK | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-16 | LAK 4 - 1 DET | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-13 | DET 5 - 3 LAK | DET | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 16 | 1 | 1.00 |
| 1 | DET | 9 | 1 | 0.64 |
| 2 | LAK | 21 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 2 | DET | 21 | 2 | 1.65 |
| 3 | LAK | 20 | 2 | 2.07 |
| 3 | DET | 10 | 1 | 0.67 |
| 4 | LAK | 9 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 4 | DET | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 5 | LAK | 3 | 0 | 0.17 |
| 5 | DET | 2 | 1 | 0.99 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
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