Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-10-31 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 56.9%

DET: 43.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.10

DET: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	ANA	DET
Season SV%	0.888	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	30	28	2	93.3%	3.60	2	1.60
DET	John Gibson	32	27	5	84.4%	3.84	2	-1.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs DET: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	DET 6 - 3 ANA	DET	DET
2025-10-31	ANA 5 - 2 DET	ANA	ANA
2025-02-23	DET 5 - 4 ANA	DET	ANA
2024-11-15	ANA 6 - 4 DET	ANA	ANA
2024-01-07	ANA 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.94
1	DET	12	1	0.83
2	ANA	16	0	1.48
2	DET	21	1	1.64
3	ANA	15	2	1.42
3	DET	16	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown