Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 50.0%

PIT: 50.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.36

PIT: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

PIT

Arturs Silovs - 7-5-6 | 0.886 SV% | 3.20 GAA

Stat	WPG	PIT
Season SV%	0.880	0.886
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.49	3.20

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	30	28	2	93.3%	2.53	0	0.53
PIT	Arturs Silovs	34	29	5	85.3%	4.34	4	-0.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	PIT 5 - 4 WPG	PIT	PIT
2025-11-01	WPG 5 - 2 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-11-22	PIT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PIT
2024-10-20	WPG 6 - 3 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-02-10	WPG 2 - 1 PIT	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	12	1	0.76
1	PIT	13	0	0.65
2	WPG	17	1	1.38
2	PIT	12	0	0.76
3	WPG	18	2	2.20
3	PIT	19	0	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown