Pittsburgh Penguins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-11-01 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 54.4%
PIT: 45.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.63
PIT: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | WPG | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • WPG at home vs PIT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | WPG 5 - 2 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-22 | PIT 1 - 4 WPG | WPG | PIT |
| 2024-10-20 | WPG 6 - 3 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-10 | WPG 2 - 1 PIT | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-02-06 | PIT 3 - 0 WPG | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:15 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 02:43 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 01:17 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 12:13 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 19:48 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 10:27 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:39 | WPG | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9