Colorado Avalanche at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-11-01 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 44.1%
COL: 55.9%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.71
COL: 2.41
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 26%
Over 6.5: 16%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | SJS | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.908 | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SJS at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4 - 2 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6 - 0 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3 - 2 COL | SJS | COL |
| 2025-03-06 | COL 7 - 3 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.1
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.7 - 2.4
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