Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Washington Capitals (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 44.5%

WSH: 55.5%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.68

WSH: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BUF at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	WSH 6 - 2 BUF	WSH	WSH
2026-03-12	BUF 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	BUF
2025-11-01	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	WSH
2025-03-30	WSH 5 - 8 BUF	BUF	WSH
2025-01-06	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	WSH

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4