Chicago Blackhawks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-11-01 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

EDM: 74.5%

CHI: 25.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.23

CHI: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	EDM	CHI
Season SV%	0.896	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.81	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	29	27	2	93.1%	2.74	3	0.74
CHI	Spencer Knight	30	27	3	90.0%	3.18	1	0.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • EDM at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	EDM 3 - 1 CHI	EDM	EDM
2026-01-12	CHI 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-11-01	EDM 3 - 2 CHI	EDM	EDM
2025-02-05	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-01-11	CHI 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	0	1.08
1	CHI	15	0	0.62
2	EDM	14	1	1.38
2	CHI	13	1	1.02
3	EDM	7	0	0.41
3	CHI	14	2	1.06
4	EDM	4	0	0.31
4	CHI	1	0	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.2