Calgary Flames at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2025-11-02 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 53.5%
CGY: 46.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.12
CGY: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | PHI | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CGY: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | CGY 5 - 1 PHI | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-02 | PHI 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | PHI |
| 2025-03-04 | PHI 3 - 6 CGY | CGY | PHI |
| 2024-10-12 | CGY 6 - 3 PHI | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-01-06 | PHI 3 - 2 CGY | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:15 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 14:20 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 07:06 | CGY | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1