New Jersey Devils at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-11-02 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 58.3%

NJD: 41.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.88

NJD: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Stat	ANA	NJD
Season SV%	0.888	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	2.52

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	33	32	1	97.0%	2.39	0	1.39
NJD	Jake Allen	29	25	4	86.2%	4.45	5	0.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs NJD: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	NJD 4 - 1 ANA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-02	ANA 4 - 1 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-12-31	ANA 3 - 2 NJD	ANA	ANA
2024-10-27	NJD 6 - 2 ANA	NJD	NJD
2024-03-01	ANA 4 - 3 NJD	ANA	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	2	1.30
1	NJD	19	0	0.72
2	ANA	14	1	0.99
2	NJD	10	0	0.56
3	ANA	15	2	2.17
3	NJD	22	0	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown