Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-11-03 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 48.1%

EDM: 51.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.01

EDM: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	13	0	0.43
1	EDM	11	0	0.71
2	STL	13	0	1.27
2	EDM	14	1	1.15
3	STL	9	1	0.66
3	EDM	12	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0