Vancouver Canucks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-11-03 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 60.1%

VAN: 39.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.08

VAN: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Stat	NSH	VAN
Season SV%	0.897	0.905
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.72

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	31	5	86.1%	3.02	1	-1.98
VAN	Thatcher Demko	29	25	4	86.2%	2.54	1	-1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NSH at home vs VAN: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	VAN 4 - 3 NSH	VAN	VAN
2025-11-03	NSH 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-10-23	NSH 2 - 1 VAN	NSH	NSH
2025-01-29	NSH 1 - 3 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-01-03	VAN 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	1	0.71
1	VAN	19	0	1.10
2	NSH	13	0	0.86
2	VAN	18	1	1.30
3	NSH	19	0	0.94
3	VAN	9	0	0.43
4	NSH	1	0	0.03
4	VAN	2	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0